2017 AMC 10 B

Complete problem set with solutions and individual problem pages

Problem 9 Easy

A radio program has a quiz consisting of 3 multiple-choice questions, each with 3 choices. A contestant wins if he or she gets 2 or more of the questions right. The contestant answers randomly to each question. What is the probability of winning? (2017 AMC 10B Problem, Question#9)

  • A.

    \frac 1{27}

  • B.

    \frac 19

  • C.

    \frac 29

  • D.

    \frac7{27}

  • E.

    \frac 12

Answer:D

There are two ways the contestant can win.

Case 1: The contestant guesses all three right. This can only happen \dfrac{1}{3}*\dfrac{1}{3}*\dfrac{1}{3}=\dfrac{1}{27} of the time.

Case 2: The contestant guesses only two right. We pick one of the questions to get wrong,3 , and this can happen \dfrac{1}{3}*\dfrac{1}{3}*\dfrac{2}{3} of the time. Thus, \dfrac{2}{27}*3=\dfrac{6}{27}.So, in total the two cases combined equals \frac 1{27}+\frac 6{27}=\rm (D)\frac 7{27}.

Complementary counting is good for solving the problem and checking work if you solved it using the method above.

There are two ways the contestant can lose.

Case 1: The contestant guesses zero questions correctly.

The probability of guessing incorrectly for each question is \frac 23. Thus, the probability of guessing all questions incorrectly is \dfrac{2}{3}*\dfrac{2}{3}*\dfrac{2}{3}=\dfrac{8}{27}.

Case 2: The contestant guesses one question correctly. There are 3 ways the contestant can guess one question correctly since there are 3 questions. The probability of guessing correctly is \frac 13.so the probability of guessing one correctly and two incorrectly is 3*\dfrac{1}{3}*\dfrac{2}{3}*\dfrac{2}{3}=\dfrac{4}{9}.

The sum of the two cases is \frac 8{27}+\frac 4{9}=\frac {20}{27}. This is the complement of what we want to the answer is 1-\frac {20}{27}=\rm (D)\frac {7}{27}.